Tue, Jul 22, 2025, 07:12 PMTariffMedium confidence

We just completed a massive Deal with Japan, perhaps the largest Deal ever made.

“We just completed a massive Deal with Japan, perhaps the largest Deal ever made. Japan will invest, at my direction, $550 Billion Dollars into the United States, which will receive 90% of the Profits.”

Truth Social→

Market Reaction

Send the first danmaku

+1 hour after statement

Before & After

Price changes before (leading up to) and after the statement

	BEFORE ◀			▶ AFTER
Asset	-1 day	-1 hour	-5 min	+5 min	+1 hour	+1 day
BTC	+2.13%	+0.07%	--	--	-0.30%	-1.05%
DXY	-0.39%	+0.07%	--	--	-0.10%	-0.28%
GLD	+0.37%	-0.57%	-0.57%	--	--	-1.16%
SPY	+0.32%	+0.30%	+0.30%	--	--	+0.65%
TLT	-0.02%	-0.60%	-0.60%	--	--	-0.19%

Market Impact Summary

The largest measured post-statement move was in GLD, which fell 1.16% over the 1d window. The comparison uses prices immediately around the timestamp above; it shows correlation, not proof that the statement alone caused the move.

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